Monday, December 06, 2004
Thursday, November 04, 2004
Wednesday, October 27, 2004
Monday, October 25, 2004
Tuesday, October 12, 2004
Monday, October 11, 2004
24 of 31 novelists are voting for Kerry, according to this survey. Only 4 are supporting Bush.
Yet another example of media bias. (Remember, when conservatives talk about bias in the media, they aren't just referring to the news media, but to all media...)
Wednesday, September 22, 2004
Here's a taste:
"CBS' sole source authenticating the forged National Guard documents is Bill Burkett, who's about as sane as Margot Kidder was when they dragged her filthy, toothless butt out of somebody's shrubs a few years back. Burkett has compared Bush to Hitler and Napoleon, and rambles on about Bush's "demonic personality shortcomings." (This would put Burkett on roughly the same page as Al Gore.)
"According to USA Today, an interview with Burkett ended when he "suffered a violent seizure and collapsed in his chair" – an exit strategy Dan Rather has been eyeing hungrily all week, I'm sure. Burkett admits to having nervous breakdowns and having been hospitalized for depression.
"At a minimum, the viewing public should have been informed that CBS' sole "unimpeachable" source of the forged anti-Bush records was textbook crank Bill Burkett in order to evaluate the information. ("Oh no, not that guy again!") The public would know to use the same skeptical eye it uses to watch the "CBS Evening News With Dan Rather" itself."
But she saves the best for last. Read the whole thing.
Saturday, September 18, 2004
Monday, September 13, 2004
Thursday, September 02, 2004
Here's an excerpt of a National Review Online interview with Zell Miller:
NRO: Cynthia McKinney, the former congresswoman, has reemerged in Georgia as the Democratic nominee in Georgia' 4th congressional district.
MILLER: Yes, she has.
NRO: Any thoughts on that?
MILLER: They're not printable.
I love this guy...
Sunday, August 29, 2004
Wednesday, August 25, 2004
Former Republican Sen. Bob Dole suggested Sunday that John Kerry apologize for past testimony before Congress about alleged atrocities during the Vietnam War and joined critics of the Democratic presidential candidate who say he received an early exit from combat for "superficial wounds."
Dole also called on Kerry to release all the records of his service in Vietnam.
Dole told CNN's "Late Edition" that he warned Kerry months ago about going "too far" and that the Democrat may have himself to blame for the current situation, in which polls show him losing support among veterans.
"One day he's saying that we were shooting civilians, cutting off their ears, cutting off their heads, throwing away his medals or his ribbons," Dole said. "The next day he's standing there, 'I want to be president because I'm a Vietnam veteran.' Maybe he should apologize to all the other 2.5 million veterans who served. He wasn't the only one in Vietnam," said Dole, whose World War II wounds left him without the use of his right arm.
Dole added: "And here's, you know, a good guy, a good friend. I respect his record. But three Purple Hearts and never bled that I know of. I mean, they're all superficial wounds. Three Purple Hearts and you're out."
It's good to hear Robert Dole, a real American hero, speak out about John Kerry's shameful record in Vietnam.
Friday, August 20, 2004
FORT MYERS, Fla./CRAWFORD, Texas (Reuters) - Democrat John Kerry asked the Federal Election Commission on Friday to force Republican critics to withdraw ads challenging his military service and accused the Bush campaign of illegally helping coordinate the attacks as the presidential race took a decidedly bitter turn.
Bush's campaign advisers denied any involvement in advertisements by the group Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, and the White House, in a new line of attack, criticized Kerry for "losing his cool" over the accusations.
Apparently it's okay for a foreign billionaire to give millions of dollars to a shrill anti-Bush group that runs ads accusing the President of cowardice and comparing him to Hitler. But if over 250 Vietnam veterans, many of them highly-decorated, dare to criticize Kerry and offer a differing point-of-view regarding events that occurred in Vietnam, they are to be muzzled.
I always knew Democrats despised the Second Amendment. But I didn't know they hated the First Amendment as well.
The unusual late-August maneuvering highlighted the closeness of the race for the White House and came as polls offered the first hint that the questioning of Kerry's medal-winning service in the Vietnam War - allegations that he strongly condemned this week as lies - were taking a political toll.
One poll found that more than half the voters questioned had seen or heard of an ad by Swift Boat Veterans For Truth that accuses Kerry of lying about events that earned him five medals in Vietnam a generation ago. The University of Pennsylvania's National Annenberg Election Survey also found that 44 percent of self-described independent voters found the ad very or somewhat believable.
Separately, a CBS poll found a sharp drop in Kerry's support among both veterans since the end of the Democratic Convention.
Good. The mainstream media had been derelict in their duty to look into Kerry's claims to be a "war hero." It took the Swift Boat Vets to finally get the media off their collective asses and bring this to the attention of the voting public.
These veterans have already proven Kerry to be a liar regarding his "Christmas in Cambodia" claim, which he said was "seared - SEARED - into [his] memory." How many more distortions, exaggerations, and outright lies will now come to light?
More from here:
Cutter sought to turn the argument over presidential readiness back on the White House. "Mr. McClellan needs to understand that John Kerry is not the type of leader who will sit and read 'My Pet Goat' to a group of second graders while America is under attack," she said.
That was a reference to Sept. 11, 2001, when Bush remained in an elementary school classroom for several minutes after being informed by an aide that the World Trade Center had been hit.
Well, it's good to see that the Kerry camp is taking the high-road here...
(This post can also be found at BlogCritics.org)
My cousin passed away last night, from cancer. He was a good man, and a devoted Christian.
If there is a God, he is surely with Him now.
Rest In Peace, Daniel.
Monday, August 09, 2004
Saturday, August 07, 2004
Kerry on abortion:
I oppose it on moral grounds (it's a human life), but still support it (it's NOT a human life)
Kerry on taxes:
I'll cut taxes on "working families" and RAISE taxes on the "rich" (high-income earners who apparently don't work in my world, because after all I'm a billionaire and I don't even bother to show up for work at the Senate, I just married some crazy old broad who was previously married to a Republican Senator who died horribly)
Kerry on the war in Iraq:
I supported the war, no, wait, I supported threatening to go to war, but I opposed funding it, but I voted to support funding it before I voted to oppose funding it, and I think it was all a mistake, but I'm glad Saddam is no longer in power, and I will stay the course there, except I'll bring our troops home. Oh, and Bush misled everyone with the same information that I had that led me to vote for the war. Except I didn't vote for the actual war, I voted for a different war, in which people are not killed and it doesn't cost any money that could be better spent on more firemen and Heinz ketchup
Kerry on the Death Penalty:
I oppose it, because I feel life in prison is worse than a quick and painless death, except I support it in the case of terrorists, which means that in my world, where a full life lived at taxpayers expense watching cable, lifting weights, and having gay sex is worse than the gas chamber or electric chair, I actually am coddling terrorists, because I don't wish that awful fate on them
Kerry on Vietnam:
I served in Vietnam, with a band of brothers, who I later told the Senate were really a bunch of monsters, and I called myself a war criminal, but I still deserve to be Commander-In-Chief, because I won three purple hearts, though two were for self-inflicted wounds, and none required surgery, and I won more decorations for dispatching with the enemy, who happened to be a wounded Viet Cong teenager running away who I shot in the back, but I won those medals fair and square, and then pretended to throw them away at an anti-war rally supported by Jane Fonda, who once manned anti-aircraft guns aimed at my "band of brothers" but that's okay because they really weren't MY medals, they were some other guys' medals, and you shouldn't even be asking me about anything that I did after I left a boarding school in Switzerland because BUSH LIED
Friday, August 06, 2004
As I type this, there is a Google ad at the top of this page for the official John Kerry Website. The title of the ad: "Help Re-defeat Bush"...
Excuse me? "Re-defeat"?
It's more than a little pathetic that the myth of the 2000 election being "stolen" now apparently has the official blessing of the Democratic Party's nominee in 2004. Let's hope the dishonest bastards lose another close one this time around too...
Tuesday, July 13, 2004
Wednesday, July 07, 2004
Monday, July 05, 2004
Friday, July 02, 2004
Thursday, July 01, 2004
The former head of a Republican consulting group has pleaded guilty to jamming Democratic telephone lines in several New Hampshire cities on Election Day two years ago.
The jamming involved more than 800 computer-generated calls and lasted for about 1 1/2 hours on Nov. 5, 2002, the day voters decided several races, including a close Senate contest between outgoing Gov. Jeanne Shaheen and GOP Rep. John E. Sununu, who won by fewer than 20,000 votes.
This leaves the impression that the Republicans "stole" this election with "dirty tricks."
However, let's dig a little deeper in order to search for the truth here.
New Hampshire had, in November 2002, 690,159 registered voters. Only a little more than a quarter of NH voters are registered Democrats. The rest are either Republicans, Independents, or registered with some third-party.
In order to believe that this little "dirty trick" cost the Democrat Jeanne Shaheen the election, you must also believe that 90 minutes without access to telephones cost Democrats roughly 20,000 votes. 20,000 votes is roughly 3% of registered voters in the state.
Now let's figure in the turnout factor. 50% turnout is probably being charitable in an off-year election (I don't have the exact figures). That would mean roughly 350,000 people voted in 2002. 20,000 is roughly 6% of that figure.
We must dig still deeper in order to get a clearer picture. One assumes that the Democrat Party in New Hampshire was calling only registered Democrats on Election Day. So, 25% of 350,000 is roughly 90,000 voters. And 20,000 is over 22% of 90,000.
In other words, if one assumes that the GOP "stole" the NH Senate election in 2002, they must also assume that a mere hour and a half outage of the phones at the Democrat Party's HQ on Election Day cost them nearly a quarter of their base's vote! (And I'm sure the campaign workers ended up just using their cell phones to overcome the problem anyway, pretty much mooting the intended effect of this attack.)
The media will not dig this deep, however. They will just imply that Republicans use illegal methods to steal elections. (And remember, this guy wasn't even a part of the official campaign!)
This is why people hate and distrust the media. Sometimes, they almost make Michael Moore look credible by contrast.
Quotes from here
"You've got to stop beating up your women because you can't find a job, because you didn't want to get an education and now you're (earning) minimum wage," Cosby said. "You should have thought more of yourself when you were in high school, when you had an opportunity."
Wow! "The Coz" once again upsets the black victimhood apple cart. And this time even Jesse Jackson agrees:
"Bill is saying let's fight the right fight, let's level the playing field," Jackson said. "Drunk people can't do that. Illiterate people can't do that."
If this had been the message for the last 40 years, instead of well-meaning but ineffective "Great Society" welfare programs, there might have been some improvement in the situation of the black community. Let's hope this is not the last we hear of such harshly-worded but motivational rhetoric.
Tuesday, June 29, 2004
Artist - Katie Melua
Album - Call Off The Search
1. Call Off the Search
2. Crawling Up a Hill
3. Closest Thing to Crazy
4. My Aphrodisiac Is You
5. Learnin' the Blues
6. Blame It On the Moon
8. I Think It's Going to Rain Today
9. Mockingbird Song
10. Tiger in the Night
11. Faraway Voice
12. Lilac Wine
Track number one (the title track): A soulful love song with a slow, memorable beat. Ms. Melua's voice shows great range here. 4/5.
Track number two: A funky, bluesy tune with class-warfare undertones. 3/5.
Track number three: Lovely melody, with a tone that gradually builds and falls in repetition (except in the chorus). 4/5.
Track number four: Funky. Sounds like something they'd play in a strip club. Can't wait to see the music video! (Ms. Melua is quite attractive...) 4/5.
Track number five: Too slo-o-o-ow. Music for insomniacs. 2/5.
Track number six: Nice tune, until you realize it's basically a song about a chick trying to justify having had sexual intercourse with someone she barely knows the night before. 3/5.
Track number seven: Amateurish song about the religiously-divided city of Belfast. If you can get past the inane lyrics, the tune is decent. 3/5.
Track number eight: Best song on the album. Will almost certainly be a part of a future Disney animated movie's soundtrack. Hauntingly-beautiful, bitter-sweet song. 5/5.
Track number nine: Attempts to be sensual by using erotic double-entendre. Succeeds only in being corny. 3/5.
Track number ten: Decent for filler. But it's still filler. 2/5.
Track number eleven: It's a "dedication" song. Be afraid. Be very afraid. 1/5.
Track number twelve: Odd song. More filler. And pretty much crap. 2/5.
Overall: 3/5. Worth buying, but not for every song. They could have cut off the last three tracks and this CD would be missing nothing. Shades of both Norah Jones and a young Jewel.
Wednesday, June 16, 2004
Monday, June 14, 2004
Final score: 88-80. Detroit is now just a single victory away from becoming NBA Champs.
Rasheed exploded for 26, as Kobe and Phil Jackson both imploded, garnering technical fouls.
Game Five is Tuesday night, in Detroit.
Saturday, June 12, 2004
Thursday, June 10, 2004
They won a must-win game, and now lead the series 2-1. If they win Game Four, they will likely be the champs. But if they let the Lakers tie this series back up, the series will be destined to head back to LA. And that isn't so good...
Wednesday, June 09, 2004
I most recently posted that Rasheed Wallace fouled Shaq on a lay-up, giving the Lakers a three point play with under a minute left. I may have been wrong. It may in fact have been Ben Wallace who committed that foul.
I am receiving conflicting reports. If you have a definitive cite on this matter, please E-mail me. Rob32909 at MSN dot com.
Anyway, Game Three nears. The Pistons MUST win this one if they want to win this series. I'll be watching, and posting...
Detroit was just a few seconds away from going up 2-0. Then Kobe tied it up with a three point shot. Then the Pistons collapsed in overtime. And lost 99-91.
I blame Rasheed for this loss. With less than a minute remaining, he fouled Shaq on an easy lay-up, giving the Lakers a three point play. This allowed LA to cut Detroit's lead from 6 to 3. If Rasheed doesn't foul in this situation, Detroit is still up by four. And the Lakers can't tie it with one shot. And the Pistons likely win this game.
Then, after Kobe nailed his game-tying three pointer, Rasheed bobbled the ball and turned it over with 2 seconds left, blowing Detoit's chance to win it in regulation.
And then, just for good measure, he put up a horrid looking three point shot early in the overtime period, helping the Lakers maintain their momentum and extend their lead.
If Detroit had gone up 2-0, with the next three games to be played at The Palace, this series would have pretty much been in the books. But now it's all tied up, and Los Angeles has the momentum. Detroit needs to win Game Three, or else they're in real trouble...
Monday, June 07, 2004
In a wild finish, Tampa Bay hangs on 2-1 in Game Seven.
Let's see...Tampa Bay this year in hockey and a couple years ago in football...and the Marlins last year in baseball...now a Florida team needs to win it all in basketball. Maybe the Heat next season?
On Game One in the USA Today.
Pretty weak column, but he displays the arrogance of Los Angeles with this quote:
O'Neal's analysis of how the Lakers had approached Game 1? "Too cool," he said.
"I just think it's more us. ... We beat ourselves."
This is why I hate the Lakers so much. They don't give their opponent any credit. They assume that they lost the game, not that the other team won it. Unmatched arrogance...
On Detroit's Game One win.
"Nervous?" Ben Wallace said, after the Pistons' first game in the NBA Finals since 1990. "Well, I think my first jump shot was a 15-footer that went 13 feet. But we relaxed faster than they did. And after a while it became a regular game."
Sunday, June 06, 2004
Dear Lakers Fans Who Thought This Series Would Be A Four Game Sweep For LA,
Go fuck yourselves.
Robert J. Elliott
(Oh yeah, the Pistons won Game One by 12 points, in Los Angeles.)
Thursday, June 03, 2004
Tuesday, June 01, 2004
A great come-from-behind victory at home. Now, on to Los Angeles!!!
Monday, May 31, 2004
Sunday, May 30, 2004
Take a 3-2 series lead. Rip Hamilton scored a career playoof best 33 points on 12-22 shooting from the field. Detroit can finish the Pacers off Tuesday night at home.
Friday, May 28, 2004
Wednesday, May 26, 2004
Monday, May 24, 2004
What a game! Detroit had a total of 19 blocked shots, including one of the greatest blocks I've ever seen. Reggie Miller was about to tie the game with under 30 seconds left when Tayshaun Price came outta nowhere and blocked his shot.
Rasheed Wallace guaranteed victory, and the Pistons delivered. Series tied 1-1, heading back to Detroit.
Saturday, May 22, 2004
Thursday, May 20, 2004
Monday, May 17, 2004
Friday, May 14, 2004
Wednesday, May 12, 2004
Sunday, May 09, 2004
Saturday, May 08, 2004
Thursday, May 06, 2004
Tuesday, May 04, 2004
Monday, May 03, 2004
Saturday, May 01, 2004
Friday, April 30, 2004
Thursday, April 29, 2004
Wednesday, April 28, 2004
Tuesday, April 27, 2004
Friday, April 23, 2004
Thursday, April 22, 2004
Wednesday, April 21, 2004
Tuesday, April 20, 2004
Sunday, April 18, 2004
The Bucks looked like high school kids in comparison. This series could be a sweep.
Saturday, April 17, 2004
Thursday, April 15, 2004
Wednesday, April 14, 2004
Saturday, April 10, 2004
Sunday, April 04, 2004
Monday, March 22, 2004
Bush now leads in Arizona and has a huge lead in Nevada!
Also, one poll has him ahead in Michigan.
This is big news. The paid-media attacks on Kerry should continue for the rest of March, at least. Then, after having defined the man for the public, Bush should let up until the summer. He should save the majority of his cash for the post-Labor Day election-year frenzy.
But Kerry is looking weaker and weaker. It seems only a downturn in the economy (unlikely) would kill a Bush re-election now.
Saturday, March 20, 2004
Looking back on Bush vs. Gore, Professor Joseph Olson of the Hamline University School of Law in St. Paul, Minnesota, gives us a shrewd perspective. Adding up the counties in the U.S. won by the two candidates, it was Gore 677, Bush 2,434. Taking the population of those counties, it was 143 million for Bush, 127 million for Gore. In square miles of land won, Gore 580,000, Bush 2,427,000. The murder rate in Gore counties, 13.2 per 100,000 residents, contrasted with 2.1 in the Bush counties.
Two things are worthy of note here.
#1 - Bush, who was getting crushed in all the previous NH polls by Kerry, is now in the lead (with or without Nader). This is a state Bush narrowly won in 2000. I had written off this state in 2004, and it looks like I'm wrong. My apologies.
#2 - Check out the potential Nader vote. Only 4% of Dems in NH are likely to vote for him. But 9% of Republican voters are leaning towards Nader (the same number Kerry gets among Republicans)! To me, this is a possible sign that McCain Republicans in the Granite State are still looking for a White Knight to steal the show. Maybe Jesse Ventura will run as the VP pick for Nader in 2004, and they will wind up taking away the election from Bush? Time will tell...
Friday, March 19, 2004
First, read this.
Arizona is leaning Kerry. Bush must stress his support for a drug entitlement here. That could be the deciding factor in a close race in a state with lots of old people.
California is looking like Kerry territory. Governor Arnold needs to get out in front and boost Bush if there is any hope of a Bush win in this Electoral College vote-rich state. Otherwise, it's a done deal for Kerry.
Florida: Bush needs to win this. He's currently behind, but the political machinery in this state is in his favor (his brother is Governor). Jewish voters are important in this state, and I suspect they will be more likely to vote for Bush in 2004 than they were in 2000. No recount here. Hopefully...
Michigan: If Kerry chooses Gephardt as his running mate, Michigan is in the bag for the Dems. But if he chooses someone else, I suspect a close match-up. I still think Kerry gets the Electoral College votes, though.
Nevada: Bush must win here. His support for placing nuclear waste inside Yucca Mountain won't help. Kerry might pick this one off.
New Hampshire: Kerry will win. The Democrats have managed to inflame the populace here, and I expect they will carry the day in November.
Ohio: Bush is currently down. He must win this state. He and Rove know this. They will put all the needed resources into capturing Ohio in 2004, and they will be successful.
PA: This state went Gore in 2000. It would help Bush a great deal in 2004 if he can win it. And he can, despite the Democrat Party being in control. Focus some ads here, and it's a huge pick-up for Bush in 2004.
It's not listed, but I suspect NY is also in play in 2004. A good convention there could win Bush the Empire State. And the election.
Friday, March 12, 2004
You can do almost anything in the Netherlands. Drugs, fine. Prostitution, okay. Sex with animals, no problem.
Oh yeah, and the Netherlands also allows Gay Marriage. One wonders whether there is any connection between a society that allows same-sex marriage and one which finds it difficult to ban intercourse with ponies.
The moment same-sex marriage becomes the law of the land in the US, I am going to demand that polygamy also be legalized. After all, if the average Joe has two or three wives to come home to each night, instances of adultery will surely decrease...
Tuesday, March 09, 2004
The headline says it all: Bush Launches Attack on Kerry. Not Bush criticizes Kerry's voting record or Bush questions Kerry's positions. Nope, it's merely an "attack."
More fun quotes:
"President Bush attacked Democratic opponent John F. Kerry on Monday..."
"a crowd of wealthy fellow Texans..."
"Bush reached back nine years..."
" The intensity of the attack by Bush was unusual..."
Tuesday, March 02, 2004
He is slowly becoming a Democrat. I guess your position on the War on Terror doesn't matter, as long as you support the "right" of homosexuals to marry (even though Kerry says he doesn't support such a thing).
Bush better hope the election doesn't come down to a recount of the votes in Key West. The homosexuals are gonna vote for ABB (Anybody But Bush) in 2004.
To make up for the loss of gay votes, maybe Bush should court black voters by mentioning his support for a stable Haiti and Liberia. While Clinton did nothing to stop the slaughter in Rwanda, Bush is doing what he can to prevent such horrors from occuring in other mostly-black countries.
Wednesday, February 25, 2004
Bush came out the other day and supported amending the US Constitution to codify marriage as a contract between one man and one woman. I support the goal of this Amendment. But I oppose the actual Amendment, for these reasons:
- It won't pass
There is almost no chance of this Amendment being passed by 67% of BOTH Houses of Congress. The House of Representatives may give it the OK, but the Senate will almost certainly refuse it (more time between elections for Senators). And even if the Senate supports it, it will take a long time to get the needed 38 states to sign on (well after the 2004 election is held). In the meanwhile, the press will paint Bush as an intolerant bigot who is pandering to his base in a desperate attempt to win the re-election his father could not gain.
- Bush Loses Gay Votes
Gays probably make up about 5% of the voting population. I cannot imagine too many of them voting for him after he supports something they oppose so strongly. While most of them would not have voted for him in the first place, some would have. They won't now. In a close election (like 2004 is shaping up to be), losing the support of "swing" voters (pardon the pun) is nothing to sneeze at...
- The Religious Right
These folks will almost certainly commit numerous gaffes over the next 8 months or so, forcing Bush to either support their comments or distance himself from them. It's a no win for the Prez. If he distances himself from their comments, he will lose support from his base. If he supports their statements, he will lose support from needed independents. Kerry can continue to oppose the Amendment while saying he "personally" thinks marriage should be between a man and a woman. Bush will end up on the firing line, not Kerry.
Things are looking rough for Bush in November. Kerry has plenty of weaknesses, but the media seem to ignore many of them. Bush's main hope rests with Nader. If Nader stays in the race until Election Day, Bush will probably win. But I suspect a last minute pull-out by Nader (late October?), in which he endorses Kerry. This will do nothing but harm Bush.
Right now, I put the race at 50-50. If Edwards or Dean were the nominee, I might not be so concerned. But Kerry completely sickens me. Physicially. He must be stopped before he becomes President. We must support Bush, warts and all. If not, we risk horrors over the next 4 years that are unspeakable (namely, seeing that phony New England bastard on the television every single day).
Friday, February 06, 2004
Wednesday, February 04, 2004
My predictions weren't too far off for last Tuesday! Now let's see how I do on upcoming primaries...
MI - Kerry looks likely to humiliate Dean in a state the Doctor needs to do well in.
Washington State - Dean simply must score a victory out here on the Left Coast. But he won't. Kerry wins.
Maine - Dean loses a close one to Kerry, but decides it's close enough to remain in the race.
TN - Edwards in first, Clark second, Kerry third. This result could seriously damage Kerry's campaign, since if he can't even come in first or second in a Democrat Primary in a Southern state, how will he do in the South against Bush in November?
Virginia - Edwards in a blow-out. Suddenly Kerry looks beatable. Dean bays for blood in Wisconsin. Fun!
Monday, February 02, 2004
I've been pretty awful at this so far this election year, but I'll give it another try...
SC - Edwards wins, Kerry second, Clark third
ND - Kerry wins big
NM - Kerry first, Dean second
AZ - Kerry first, Dean a surprise second, Clark third
OK - Clark wins, Kerry second
MO - Kerry all the way
DE - Kerry wins, Lieberman crushed and drops out
Here's the money paragraph:
"The study also found that future adversaries could draw several lessons from the war: that American forces' reliance on high-tech surveillance satellites and aircraft could be countered by decoys and the imaginative disguise of weaponry; that more powerful warheads for rocket-propelled grenades, already effective against helicopters and light vehicles like Humvees, could offset American armor; that American forces could be drawn into a protracted, costly urban war, more effectively than they were by the Iraqis; and that American forces are vulnerable to classic weapons of insurgency, like car bombs."
Don't these fucking idiots realize that our sworn enemies probably read the NYT? This was, after all, an "internal Army history of the war ." That means it wasn't meant for public consumption. But the NYT doesn't care. If future soldiers, marines, sailors, and airmen die because of this security leak, they won't lose a minute of sleep. They'll just blame it on rich, white, male, Republicans.
God, I fucking hate the New York Times...
Thursday, January 29, 2004
The proposed Constitutional Amendment to ban it won't pass. There isn't presently enough support for it. 67% of both the House and Senate, plus ratification in 38 states, is no easy task to accomplish.
Bush would be better off encouraging and signing a federal law banning gay marriage. He could easily get majorities in both Houses for this, and that would reassure his conservative base in an election year.
Then, if the US Supreme Court ever dared to declare this federal law Unconstitutional, Bush may be able to ride the wave of populist outrage to quickly push an Amendment through.
But not now. If the Amendment is voted down, it will be a huge (and counter-productive) defeat for Bush. Gay voters who would normally support Bush will either stay at home or defect to the Democrat nominee. And the hopes of an Amendment to ban gay marriage will disappear.
In the long run, barring an Amendment, gay marriage will become law. The courts like the idea, as do younger voters. The only firewall is an Amendment. I support such an Amendment. Just not now...
Wednesday, January 28, 2004
My current guess:
Bush wins 28 states and the popular vote...
Kerry wins 22 states and DC...
This leads to a 269-269 tie in the EC. Check for yourself.
The HoR and Senate bring back Bush-Cheney for another term. The leftists go nuts.
Monday, January 26, 2004
Kerry - 33%
Dean - 27%
Edwards - 18%
Clark - 12%
Lieberman - 8%
Kook-Sin-Itch - 2%
Sharpton - under 1%
Lieberman drops out and doesn't endorse anyone. Sharpton makes some comment about how Iowa and NH voters are all "crackers" anyway, and things will go different for him in SC. Clark's campaign begins a slow collapse. Though Kerry wins, he gets slightly less than one-third of the vote and it is spun as a loss. Dean claims the title of "Doctor Comeback!" and Edwards continues to build momentum...
Tuesday, January 20, 2004
ACTUAL IOWA RESULTS:
Kerry - Winner
Edwards - Fairly close 2nd
Dean - Distant 3rd
Gephardt - Distant 4th, dropped out
Kucinich - 5th, with a tiny percentage
New Hampshire is next. The latest polls there can be found here.
Gephardt is done. Lieberman will drop out soon. Kerry will eat into Clark's support. Edwards will surge. Dean needs to win in NH to remain viable.
Monday, January 19, 2004
Monday, January 12, 2004
Okay, so the Packers won't be in it...
AFC - If the weather is relatively nice, the Colts will win a high-scoring battle to the finish: 31-27. If the weather is sloppy, the Pats will win a low-scoring battle to the end: 17-14.
NFC - Panthers win a close one at Philly: 23-21.
Super Bowl - The AFC winner will crush the NFC winner no matter what.